Logo: University of Southern California

Ali-Abbas

Ali Abbas
Professor
Industrial and Systems Engineering
Email: aliabbas@usc.edu
web: http://priceschool.usc.edu/ali-e-abbas/

Expertise

Decision analysis, risk analysis, multi-attribute utility theory, information theory, Bayesian analysis, and data-based decision making

Biographical sketch

Dr. Ali E. Abbas is Professor of Industrial and Systems Engineering and Public Policy, a joint appointment between the USC Viterbi School of Engineering and the USC Price School of Public Policy. He also serves as the Director of the USC Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE).

Dr. Abbas was previously the Art Davis Faculty Scholar and Associate Professor in the Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, where he founded the Information Systems and Decision Analysis Lab (ISDAL). Prior to his time at the University of Illinois, Dr. Abbas was a visiting scholar in the Department of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University, where he earned his Ph.D. in Management Science and Engineering.

The recipient of multiple awards from the National Science Foundation for his work, Dr. Abbas’ research focuses on decision analysis, risk analysis, multiattribute utility theory, and data-based decision making. He is widely published in books, journals, and conference publications, and has shared his expertise through television appearances, TEDx and other invited talks.

Dr. Abbas regularly teaches courses on decision analysis, and has taught numerous executive education courses at a variety of institutions, such as Stanford and the American University in Cairo.

In addition to his academic career, Dr. Abbas is founder, president, and CEO of Ahoona Corp, a decision making social network that has several thousand users around the world. He is on the Advisory Boards of Hedgestreet Inc., a binary futures exchange, and Decision Education Foundation, a volunteer nonprofit organization that empowers youth to make better decisions about their lives. Dr. Abbas also has extensive consulting and management experience.

Publication

1) Books and Book Chapters

Books

1) Howard, R. A. and A. E. Abbas. 2015. Foundations of Decision Analysis, Prentice Hall, NY.

2) Abbas, A. E. 2015. Foundations of Multiattribute Utility. Manuscript in Progress.

Edited Books

3) K. Knuth, A. E. Abbas, R. Morris, P. Castle. 2005. Conference book of the 25th International Workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering. AIP Conference Proceedings 803, San Jose, CA, 2005

4) Topical Editor, Decision Analysis area of John Wiley Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Sciences. Published by John Wiley in 2010.

5) Abbas, A. E, Tambe, M, and von Winterfeldt, D. Improving Homeland Security Decisions. In progress.

Invited Book Chapters

1) Hupman, A and A.E. Abbas. 2014. Medical Decision Making: An Application to Sugar-Sweetened Beverages, Advances in Decision Making, Forthcoming.

2) Abbas, A. E. 2011. Constructing Multiattribute Utility Functions for Decision Analysis, INFORMS Tutorials in Operations Research, editor Hasenbein, J. Hanover, MD. pp 62-98.

3) Liu, W and A. Abbas. 2006. Bioinformatics, John Wiley Encyclopedia of Biomedical Engineering, John Wiley and Sons, Inc. , Hoboken, New Jersey (16 pages).

• Reprinted in John Wiley Encyclopedia of Medical Devices and Instrumentation, 2006. Vol 1, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey, 216-230.

4) Abbas, A. 2006. Entropy, John Wiley Encyclopedia of Biomedical Engineering, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey (11 pages).

5) Evens, J and A. Abbas. 2006. Hidden Markov Models, John Wiley Encyclopedia of Biomedical Engineering, John Wiley and Sons, Inc. , Hoboken, New Jersey (13 pages).

6) Evens, J and A. Abbas. 2006. Markov Chains, John Wiley Encyclopedia of Biomedical Engineering, John Wiley and Sons, Inc. , Hoboken, New Jersey (8 pages).

7) Williams, A. and A. Abbas. 2006. Bayesian Analysis, John Wiley Encyclopedia of Biomedical Engineering, John Wiley and Sons, Inc. , Hoboken, New Jersey (9 pages).

2) Journal Papers

Invited Papers

1) Abbas, A. E. and S. Holmes. 2004. Invited Paper. Bioinformatics and Management Science: Some common tools and techniques. Operations Research, 52(2), 165-190.

Utility Theory

2) Abbas, A. E. and Z. Sun. 2015. Multiattribute Utility functions satisfying Mutual Preferential Independence. Forthcoming Operations Research

3) C. Valicka, R. A. Rekoske, D. M. Stipanovic, and A. E. Abbas. Multiattribute Utility Copulas for Multi-objective Coverage Control, Paladyn, Journal of Behavioral Robotics 5 (2014), pp. 12-34.

4) Sun Z and A.E. Abbas. 2014. On the Sensitivity of the Value of Information to Risk Aversion in Two-Action Decision Problems. Environment, Systems and Decisions. Special issue on Value of Information (34) 24-37.

5) Stipanovic D, Valika C and A.E.Abbas. 2014. Control Strategies for Players in Pursuit-Evasion Games Based On Their Preferences. International Game Theory Review 16(2) 144-164.

6) Abbas, A. E. and J. Chudziak. 2013. One-Switch Utility Functions with Annuity Payments. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 219(14), 7699-7710.

7) Abbas, A. E. N. Bakir, G. Klutke, Z. Sun. 2013. The Effects of Risk Aversion on the Value of Information in Two-Action Decision Problems. Decision Analysis, 10(3) 257–275.

8) Abbas, A. E. 2013. Utility Copula Functions matching all Boundary Assessments. Operations Research, 61(2) 359-371.

9) Abbas, A. E and D. E. Bell. 2012. One-Switch Conditions for Multiattribute Utility Functions. Operations Research, 60(5) 1199-1212.

10) Abbas, A. E. 2012. Valuing Changes in Investment Opportunities. Operations Research, 60(6) 1451-1460.

11) Abbas, A. E and D. E. Bell. 2011. One-Switch Independence for Multiattribute Utility Functions. Operations Research, 59(3) 764-771.

12) Abbas, A.E. 2011. The Multiattribute Utility Tree, Decision Analysis, 8 (3), 180-205.

13) Abbas, A.E. 2011. Decomposing the Cross-Derivatives of a Multiattribute Utility Function into Risk Attitude and Value, Decision Analysis, 8 (2), 103-116.

14) Abbas, A. E. 2011. General Decompositions of Multiattribute Utility Functions. Journal of Multicriteria Decision Analysis, 17 (1, 2), 37–59.

15) Abbas, A. E. 2011. Risk-Adjusted Martingales and the Design of Indifference Gambles. Theory and Decision 71(4) 643-668. Online first, April 4th 2010.

16) Abbas, A. E and J. Aczél. 2010. The Role of some Functional Equations in Decision Analysis. Decision Analysis, 7 (2), 215–228.

17) Abbas, A. E and J. Matheson. 2010. Normative Decision Making with Multiattribute Performance Targets. Journal of Multicriteria Decision Analysis, 16 (3, 4), 67–78.

18) Abbas, A. E and I. Hahn. 2010. Measuring Risk Aversion in a Name-Your-Own-Price Channel. Decision Analysis, 7 (1), 123–136.

19) Abbas, A. E. 2009. Multiattribute Utility Copulas. Operations Research, 57 (6), 1367-1383.

20) Abbas, A. 2009. Invariant Multiattribute Utility Functions. Theory and Decision, Special Issue on Foundations of Utility and Risk, FUR, 68 (1, 2), 69-99.

21) Abbas, A. E. , J. Aczél, J. Chudziak, 2009. Invariance Formulations for Multiattribute Utility Functions under Shift Transformations. Results in Mathematics, 54, 1-13.

22) Abbas, A. E, R. Bordley and J. Matheson. 2009. Effective Utility Functions from Organizational Target-Based Incentives. Managerial and Decision Economics, 30, 235-251.

23) Abbas, A. E. 2007. Invariant Utility Functions and Certain Equivalent Transformations. Decision Analysis, 4 (3), 17-31.

24) Abbas, A. E. 2007. Moments of Utility Functions and Their Applications. European Journal of Operational Research, 180, 378-395.

25) Abbas, A. E. 2006. Maximum Entropy Utility. Operations Research, 54(2), 277-290.

26) Abbas, A. E and R. A. Howard. 2005. Attribute Dominance Utility. Decision Analysis 2(4), 185-206.

27) Abbas, A. E. and J. E. Matheson. 2005. Normative Target-Based Decision Making. Managerial and Decision Economics, 26 (6), 373-385.

28) Matheson, J. E. and A. E. Abbas. 2005. Utility Transversality: A Value-Based Approach; Journal of Multicriteria Decision Analysis, 13, 229-238.

29) Abbas, A. E. 2004. Entropy Methods for Adaptive Utility Elicitation. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Science and Cybernetics, 34 (2), 169-178.

Probability Encoding
30) Budescu, D, A. Abbas, L. Wu. 2011. Does Probability Weighting Matter in Probability Encoding? Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 55 (4), 320-327.

31) Abbas, A. E, D. V. Budescu, R. Gu. 2010. Assessing Joint Distributions with Isoprobability Contours, Management Science, 56 (6), 997-1011.

32) Abbas, A.E. 2009. A Kullback-Leibler View of Linear and Log-Linear Pools. Decision Analysis, 6 (1) 25-37.

33) Abbas, A. E., Budescu, D.V, Yu Hsiu-Ting, Haggerty, R. 2008. A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods: Fixed Probability Wheel vs. Fixed Variable Values. Decision Analysis, 5 (4), 190-202.

34) Abbas, A. E. 2006. Entropy Methods for Joint Distributions in Decision Analysis. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 53 (1) 146-159.

Bayesian Inference: Demand Estimation, Auctions, High Speed Machining

35) Hupman A, Abbas, A and T. Schmitz. 2014. Incentives in high speed milling. Forthcoming in Journal of Manufacturing Systems..

36) Sun Z, Hupman A, Ritchey H, and A.E. Abbas. 2014. Bayesian Updating of the Price Elasticity of Uncertain Demand. IEEE Systems Journal (Forthcoming)

37) Karandikar, J., Traverso M, Abbas, A., and Schmitz, T. 2014. Bayesian inference for milling stability using a random walk approach. ASME Journal of Manuf. Science and Engineering (Forthcoming)

38) Karandikar, J., Schmitz, T., and Abbas, A. 2014. Application of Bayesian Inference to Milling Force Modeling. ASME Journal of Manuf. Science and Engineering (Forthcoming)

39) Karandikar, J, Tyler, C., Abbas, A., and Schmitz, T. 2014. Value of information-based experimental design: Application to process damping in milling. Precision Engineering (Forthcoming).

40) Karandikar, J., Abbas, A., and Schmitz, T., 2014, Tool Life Prediction using Random Walk Bayesian Updating, Journal of Machining Science and Technology, 17/3: 410-442

41) Karandikar, J., Abbas, A., and Schmitz, T., 2014, Remaining Useful Tool Life Predictions in Turning using Bayesian Inference, International Journal of Prognostics and Health Management (Forthcoming)

42) Karandikar, J., Abbas, A., and Schmitz, T., 2014, Tool Life Prediction using Bayesian Updating, Part 1: Milling Tool Life Model using a Discrete Grid Method, Precision Engineering 38(1), 9-17

43) Karandikar, J., Abbas, A., and Schmitz, T., 2014, Tool Life Prediction using Bayesian Updating, Part 2: Turning Tool Life using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approach, Precision Engineering (Forthcoming)

44) Karandikar, J, T. Schmitz, A. E. Abbas. 2012. Spindle Speed Selection for Tool Life Testing using Bayesian Inference. Journal of Manufacturing Systems, 31, 403-411.

45) Karahan N, and A. E. Abbas. 2011. Measuring Consumer Impatience and Time Preference in a Repeat Bid Name-Your-Own-Price Channel. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 99 (1), 1-14.

46) Schmitz, T, Karandikar, J, Kim, N, and A. E. Abbas. 2010. Uncertainty in Machining: Workshop Summary and Contributions. ASME Journal of Manufacturing Science and Engineering 133(5).

47) Gupta A, and A. E. Abbas. 2008. Repeat Bidding on Internet-Based Multiple-Item Name-Your-Own-Price Auctions. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, 55(4) 579-589.

48) Zapata, R, T. Schmitz, M. Traverso, A. E. Abbas. 2009. Value of Information and Experimentation in Milling Profit Optimization. International Journal of Mechatronics and Manufacturing Systems, 2 (5, 6), 580 – 599.

49) Abbas, A., L. Yang, R. Zapata, and T, Schmitz. 2008. Application of decision analysis to milling profit maximization: An introduction. Int. J. Materials and Product Technology, Vol. 35 (1/2), 64-88. Special Issue on Intelligent Machining.

3) Published Articles on Teaching Decision Analysis

50) Teaching Decision Making with Social Networks. 2013. (Abbas). ORMS Today. 40(6), December 2013.

51) Some Ideas that Triggered My Research. (Abbas) Decision Analysis Today 2012.

52) Decision Analysis: Past, Present and Future. 2012. (Abbas) ORMS Today. 39(1), 30-33

53) Peer-To-Peer Decision Training: Teaching Decision Skills to Troubled Teens. 2011. (Abbas, Herring, Robbins, Simms, and Spetzler), ORMS Today, 38 (4), 42-43.

54) Peer-To-Peer Decision Training. (Abbas, Herring, Robbins, Simms, and Spetzler). Decision Analysis Today, 29(3), 25-26. 2010.

55) Teaching Decision Skills to Troubled Teens. (Abbas, Hoffman, Howard, and Spetzler). ORMS Today. 34(4), August 2007.

56) Teaching Teens How to Make Good Decisions. (Abbas, Reiter, Spetzler, and Tani). ORMS Today. 31(4), August 2004.

4) Journal Papers under Review

1) Abbas, A. E and D. E. Bell. 2014. Ordinal One-Switch Utility Functions. Under Review.

5) Work in Progress

1. Abbas, A. E. 2013. On the Equivalence of Linear Options Pricing and Expected Utility Valuation. Target Journal Operations Research.

2. Z. Sun and A. E. Abbas. 2013. Continuous time risk-adjusted martingales. Target Journal Operations Research.

3. Abbas A. E. and S. Ho. 2014. Utility Bayesian Networks. Target Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research.

4. Z. Sun and A. E. Abbas. 2014. Value of Information and Stochastic Dominance. Target Journal Decision Analysis.

5. Hupman, A and A. E. Abbas. 2014. Empirical experiments on intended consequences of incentive structures. Target Journal Management Science.

6) Refereed Conference Proceedings Publications

1. Abbas, A. 2002. An Entropy Approach for Utility Assignment in Decision Analysis. In: C. Williams (ed.), Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Moscow ID August 3rd – 7th 2002, AIP Conference Proceedings 659, American Institute of Physics, Melville NY, pp.328-338
2. Abbas, A. 2002. Entropy Methods for Univariate Distributions in Decision Analysis. In: C. Williams (ed.), Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Moscow ID august 3rd – 7th 2002, AIP Conference Proceedings 659, American Institute of Physics, Melville NY, pp.339-349.
3. Abbas, A. and A. Markopoulo. 2003. A Bayesian-Maximum Entropy Approach to Subjective Voice-Quality Testing. In: G.J. Erickson, Y. Zhai (eds.), Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Jackson Hole WY August 3rd – 8th 2003, AIP Conference Proceedings 707, American Institute of Physics, Melville NY, pp. 44-58.
4. Abbas, A. 2003. An Information Theory for Preferences. In: G.J. Erickson, Y. Zhai (eds.), Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Jackson Hole WY August 3rd – 8th 2003, AIP Conference Proceedings 707, American Institute of Physics, Melville NY, pp. 127-144.
5. Abbas, A. 2005. Maximum Entropy Distributions with Upper and Lower Bounds. In: K.H. Knuth, A.E. Abbas, R.D. Morris, J.P. Castle (eds.), Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, San José, California, USA, August 7th – 12th 2005, AIP Conference Proceedings 803, American Institute of Physics, Melville NY, pp. 25-42.
6. Abbas, A., R. Hafiz, and L. Yang. 2007. Sensitivity to Multiplicative Utility Independence. 19th International Conference on Multicriteria Decision Making, Sydney, Australia, January 7th -12th (on CD, 3 Pages)
7. Zapata, R., T. Schmitz, A. Abbas, and L. Yang, 2007. Quantifying the Stability uncertainty in a Milling Model. Proceedings of the 2007 ASPE Annual Meeting, October 14th -19th 2007, Dallas, TX (on CD, 4 pages).
8. Abbas, A., E. Gselmann, G. Maksa, and Z. Sun. 2008. General and Continuous Solutions of the Entropy Equation. In: M.S. Lauretto, C.A. Pereira, J.M. Stern (eds.), Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, São Paulo, Brazil, July 6th – 11th 2008, AIP Conference Proceedings 1073, American Institute of Physics, Melville NY, pp 3-7.
9. Abbas, A., Schmitz, T., Zapata, R., Hafiz, R., and Yang, L., 2008, Application of Decision Analysis to Milling Profit Maximization, NSF CMMI Engineering Research and Innovation Conference 2008, January 7-10, Knoxville, TN (on CD, 17 pages).
10. Zapata, R., Traverso, M., Abbas, A., and Schmitz, T., 2008, Bayesian Updating of Stability Beliefs, Proceedings of American Society for Precision Engineering Annual Meeting, October 19-24, Portland, OR (on CD, 4 pages).
11. Abbas, A., Schmitz, T., Traverso, M., and Zapata, R., 2009, Bayesian Methods for Milling Stability Prediction, Proceedings of 2009 NSF Engineering Research and Innovation Conference, June 22-25, Honolulu, HI (on CD, 7 pages).
12. Traverso, M., Zapata, R., Schmitz, T., and Abbas, A., 2009, Optimal Experimentation for Selecting Stable Milling Parameters: A Bayesian Approach, Proceedings of the ASME 2009 International Manufacturing Science and Engineering Conference, Paper No. MSEC-84032, MSEC2009, West Lafayette, IN, October 4-7, 2009.
13. Abbas, A. E. 2009. From Bayes’ Nets to Utility Nets. Forthcoming Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Oxford, Mississippi.
14. Abbas, A. E. 2009. On a Class of Stochastic Processes with Constant Valuation. Forthcoming Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Oxford, Mississippi.
15. Chen, X, A. E. Abbas and D. Stipanovic. 2009. A Multi Attribute Utility Approach to Target Assignment. Proceedings of the ASME 2009 Dynamic Systems and Control Conference, DSCC2009, October 12-14, 2009, Hollywood, California, USA.
16. Traverso, M and A. E. Abbas. 2009. Demand Curve Prediction via Bayesian Probability Assignment over a Functional Space. Proceedings of the Winter Simulation Conference, Austin, Tx.
17. Alkindi, M and A. E. Abbas. 2010. A Decision Analysis View of Six Sigma. Proceedings of IEEE Systems Conference, April 5th-8th, San Diego, CA, 2010.
18. Alkindi, M and A. E. Abbas. 2010. Testing decisions in Product Development. Proceedings of IEEE Systems Conference. April 5th-8th, San Diego, CA, 2010.
19. Traverso, M., Zapata, R., Karandikar, J., Schmitz, T., and Abbas, A., 2010, A Sequential Greedy Search Algorithm with Bayesian Updating for Testing in High-Speed Milling Operations, Proceedings of the ASME 2010 International Manufacturing Science and Engineering Conference, Paper No. MSEC-34048, MSEC2010, Erie, PA, October 12-15, 2010
20. Karandikar, J., Schmitz, T., and Abbas, A., 2011, Tool Life Prediction Using Bayesian Updating, Transactions of the NAMRI/SME, 39: 466-475.
21. Hupman, A and A. E. Abbas. 2012. Modeling the cost of sugar-sweetened beverages to health care. Proceedings of Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference. May 18th-24th, 2012. Orlando, FL.
22. Alkindi, M and A. E. Abbas. 2012. Joint Manufacturing and Marketing Decision Analytic Model. Proceedings of Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference. May 18th-24th, 2012. Orlando, FL.
23. Abdildin, Y and A. E. Abbas. 2012. An Algorithm for Excluding Redundant Assessments in a Multiattribute Utility Problem. Proceedings of the International Conference on Computational Science, vol (9) pp 802-811, ICCS 2012. June 2, 2012.
24. Abbas, A. E, G. Hazelrigg, M, Al-Kindi. 2012. Bayesian Inference for the Demand of Engineering Products. ASME Conference in Design Theory and Methodology. DETC 2012-70153. August 12-15, Chicago, IL, 2012.
25. Karandikar, J., Schmitz, T., and Abbas, A., 2012, Spindle Speed Selection for Tool Life Testing using Bayesian Inference, Transactions of the NAMRI/SME, 40.
26. Abbas, A. E. 2013. Normative Perspectives on Engineering Systems Design. Forthcoming IEEE Systems Conference, SYSCON 2013. April 15th – 18th, 2013. Orlando, FL.
27. Sun, Z and A. E. Abbas. 2013. Bayesian Updating on Price Elasticity of Uncertain Demand. Forthcoming IEEE Systems Conference, SYSCON 2013. April 15th – 18th, 2013. Orlando, FL.
28. Valicka, C, D. Stipanovic, and A. E. Abbas. 2013. Multiattribute Utility Copulas for Multiobjective Control. Forthcoming in proceedings of the 2013 American Control Conference, June 17th -19th , 2013 Washington, DC, USA.
29. Abdildin, Y.G. and A.E. Abbas. 2013. Canonical Multiattribute Utility Functions: Enumeration, Verification, and Application. Proceedings of the 2013 International Conference on Computational Science, Procedia, ICCS, Barcelona, Spain, June 5-7, 2013.
30. Hupman, A and A. E. Abbas. 2014. Optimizing Fixed Targets in Organizations through Simulation. Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference, Savannah, GA, A. Tolk, S. D. Diallo, I. O. Ryzhov, L. Yilmaz, S. Buckley, and J. A. Miller, eds.
31. Sutcu, M and A.E. Abbas. 2015. First-order dependence trees with cumulative residual entropy, Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, (MAXENT 2014), AIP Publishing, Volume 1641 pp 512-521.
32. Hupman, A, A. E. Abbas, B. Tibor, H. Kannan, C. Bloebaum and B. Mesmer. 2015. Calculating Value Gaps Induced by Independent Requirements, Deterministic Modeling, and Fixed Targets. Proceedings of the 56th AIAA/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference, Huntsville, Alabama
33. Abbas, A. E. 2015. Perspectives on Some Widely Used Methods of Multi-Objective Decision Making in Systems Engineering, Submitted to Proceedings of the 2015 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference, S. Cetinkaya and J. K. Ryan, eds.
34. Abbas, A. E. 2015. On the Use of Utility Theory in Engineering Design, Submitted to Proceedings of the 2015 Industrial and Systems Engineering Research Conference, S. Cetinkaya and J. K. Ryan, eds.

7) Media Coverage

a) TV appearance: 10 Minute Interview on PBS: WTTW Channel 11: Chicago Tonight: Calculating Good Life Choices. February 20th 2014.
http://chicagotonight.wttw.com/2014/02/20/calculating-good-life-choices
b) The News-Gazette. Front Page coverage: Can’t Make a Decision? This site might help. February 11th 2014
http://www.news-gazette.com/news/local/2014-02-11/ui-profs-website-tackles-decision-making.html
c) The Republic, Columbus, Indiana. Front Page coverage: U. of Illinois professor creates site he hopes help with decisions big and small. February 11th 2014 http://www.therepublic.com/view/story/76b683666c8348c49c45c708f52c1e11/IL--Decisions-Website
d) American Society for Engineering Education Newsletter: February 12th 2014: University Of Illinois Engineering Professor Develops Website That Tackles Decision-Making.
e) Institute for Operations Research and Management Sciences (INFORMS) Front page Coverage, January 2014: https://www.informs.org/Apply-Operations-Research-and-Analytics/INFORMS-Today-The-Podcast-Series/Helping-Teens-Make-Life-Changing-Decisions
f) TV appearance: CBS Channel 3: WCIA Recognizes Ahoona: Using Ahoona is easy decision, March 29, 201. Video clip at http://illinoishomepage.net/fulltext?nxd_id=476472
g) The National Science Foundation Discoveries Section http://www.nsf.gov/discoveries/disc_summ.jsp?cntn_id=127901&WT.mc_id=USNSF_51&WT.mc_ev=click
h) University of Illinois Recognizes Ahoona: Engineering professor develops "Facebook for Decision-Making", March 26, 2013
https://engineering.illinois.edu/news/2013/03/26/illinois-engineering-professor-develops- facebook-decision-making

8) Recent Invited Talks

1) Deputy Commissioner of the U.S. Customs and Border Protection. Invited to present results of study on border security metrics with Deputy Commissioner Kevin McAleenan, January 2015.

2) Transportation and Security Administration (TSA). Invited to present results of study on aviation security with Chief Risk Officer Ken Fletcher, December 2014, January 2015.

3) Naval Postgraduate School (NPS). Perspectives on some arbitrary methods of decision making in defense systems. January 2015. Monterey, CA.

4) U.S. Customs and Border Protection. December 2014. Invited to present results of study on border security metrics with Chief Michael Fisher.

5) Under-Secretary of Science and Technology, U.S. Department of Homeland Security. 2014. Invited to present results of study on transitionable projects to Under Security, Dr. Reginald Brothers, November 2014

6) INFORMS 2014. Invited Speaker for the 50th anniversary celebration of Decision Analysis, San Francisco, CA, October 2014.

7) Southern California Edison. The Necessity of Decision Analysis, Irvine, CA, December 2014.

8) TEDxUIUC 2014, Decision Making and the Pursuit of Happiness. Champaign, IL, April 2014.

9) The Houses of Parliament, Decision Making for Financial Governance and Social Innovation. Houses of Parliament, London, UK. November 2013.

10) INFORMS Podcast (with INFORMS Front Page Coverage). Helping Teens Make Life-changing Decisions. January 2014.

11) Society of Decision Professionals Podcast (DA Fundamentals Series): Constructing Multiattribute Utility Functions for Decision Analysis. January 2014.

12) Decision Analysis: From Foundations to Large Scale Systems. University College London. London, UK. January 2014

13) The Foundations of Multiattribute Utility. London Business School. London, U.K. January 2014

14) Perspectives on Constructing Multiattribute Utility Functions in Decision Analysis. Decision Analysis Affinity Group (DAAG). Chicago, Illinois, May 2012

15) A Decision Analytic Framework for the Assessment of Systems Engineering for Clean and Renewable Energy. International Research Assessment on Systems Engineering For Clean and Renewable Energy Manufacturing (SEEM), Arlington, Virginia, May 2012

16) Decision Analysis: From Basic Research through Product Realization. NSF and NASA Workshop on Large-Scale Complex Engineered Systems, Arlington, Virginia, February 2012

17) Constructing Multiattribute Utility Functions for Decision Analysis, University of Texas at Dallas, Dallas, Texas, November 2011

18) The Role of Some Functional Equations in Decision Analysis, Stanford University, Stanford, California, February 2011

19) The Necessity of Decision Analysis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, December 2010

20) Adventures in a Multiattribute Utility Space, University of California, Irvine. Irvine, California, November 2010

21) Normative Perspectives in Engineering Design. University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida. October 2010

22) Constructing Multiattribute Utility Functions in Decision Analysis, McCombs School of Business, University of Texas Austin, Austin, Texas, April 2010

23) Uncertainty in Machining, National Science Foundation, Arlington, VA, February 2010.

24) Multiattribute Utility Copulas, IBM Watson Research Center, Manhattan, New York, March 2009

25) Recent Advances in Multiattribute Utility Theory, Stanford University. Stanford, California. February 2009

26) Recent Advances in Multiattribute Utility Theory, Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Texas A & M, College Station, Texas December 2008

27) Decision Making in Manufacturing, Society of Manufacturing Engineers, Manufacturing Education, Long Island, New York, November 2008
28) The Foundations of Decision Analysis. Schlumberger Oilfield Services. Sugar Land, Texas, August 2008

29) Bidirectional Utility Diagrams, Stanford University. Stanford, California, November 2007

30) Multiattribute Utility Copulas, National Science Foundation-SAMSI Joint Workshop on Risk Analysis, Extreme Events and Decision Theory, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, September 2007

31) Bidirectional Utility Diagrams, Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, May 2007

32) Invariant Utility Functions and Certain Equivalent Transformations, Darden Business School, University of Virginia. Richmond, Virginia, November 2006

33) Invariant Utility Functions, Stanford University, Stanford, California. February 2006

34) The Evolution of Decision Analysis. The 17th Face-to-Face Open Workshop took place at the 2004 NSF Design, Service and Manufacturing Grantees and Research Conference in Dallas, Texas. (January 2004).

9) Conference/Workshop Organization

1) NASA Langley workshop on Decision Making in Engineering Design. NSF Funded workshop for 30 managers and design engineers from NASA Langley as well as 10 academics to discuss decision making in space missions. The focus was on the asteroid capture strategy envisioned by the Obama administration. Hampton, VA, March 2014.

2) Decision Analysis: Past, Present and Future. NSF Sponsored workshop that included Nobel Laureates (e.g. Ken Arrow) and several prominent founders of the field of decision analysis. Workshop article was presented as a paper in ORMS Today, the Magazine of the INFORMS society. Palo Alto, CA, October 2012.

3) IFORS Conference, Decision Analysis Cluster Chair, Toronto (2009).

4) INFORMS Conference, Decision Analysis Cluster Chair Seattle (2007).

5) INFORMS Conference, Decision Analysis Cluster Chair Pittsburg, (2006).

6) Organizing Committee: 25th International Workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering. (San Jose 2005). Editor of Conference Book.

10) Conference Presentations

1. Decision Analytic Foundations for Design and Manufacturing. Gordon Research Conference. Session with Ronald Howard. Plymouth, Massachusetts. (June 2000).

2. Entropy Methods in Decision Analysis. Session Chair at the INFORMS conference in Miami, Florida. (November, 2001).

3. An Entropy Approach for Utility Assignment. Invited Speaker and Student Scholarship Award. Maximum Entropy and Bayesian Research Conference. Moscow, Idaho. (August, 2002)

4. Entropy Methods for Joint Distributions in Decision Analysis. Session with Bob Clemen. INFORMS conference in San Jose, California. (November, 2002)

5. Epistemic Aleatory and Uncertain Probabilities: A Decision Analytic Perspective. Session with Elisabeth Pate-Cornell. INFORMS conference in San Jose, California (November, 2002)

6. Maximum Entropy Utility: Session Chair Utility Modeling Session, Decision Analysis Track. INFORMS conference in San Jose, California. (November, 2002)

7. Tutorial: Bioinformatics and Management Science (Jointly with William Swope (IBM Research) and Susan Holmes (Stanford University)). INFORMS conference in San Jose, California. (November, 2002)

8. Utility-Probability Duality. Pacific Region Intercollegiate Symposium for the Management Sciences (PRISMS) Berkeley (March 2003). First Prize Award.

9. Tutorial: Advances in Maximum Entropy Utility. 23rd international workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Jackson Hole (August 2003)

10. A Bayesian -Maximum Entropy Approach to Subjective Voice Quality Testing (Jointly with Athina Markopoulo). 23rd international workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Jackson Hole (August 2003)

11. Utility-Probability Duality. INFORMS conference in Atlanta. (November, 2003)

12. Utility Transversality: A value-Based Approach. INFORMS conference in Atlanta. (November, 2003)

13. Reasoning about Preferences: An Invariance Approach. 37th Annual Meeting of the Society for Mathematical Psychology - Ann Arbor. (2004).

14. Attribute Dominance Utility. INFORMS conference in Denver. (November 2004)

15. Invariant Utility Functions. IFORS conference in Hawaii (July 2005)

16. Maximum Entropy Distributions with Upper and Lower Bounds. 25th international workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering, Jackson Hole (August 2005). Conference Organizer.

17. Learning, Teaching, and Using the Precise Decision Language. INFORMS conference in San Francisco (November 2005)

18. Effective Utility Functions from Organizational Target-Based Incentives. INFORMS conference in San Francisco (November 2005)

19. Repeat Bidding strategies for Name Your Own Price Channels. INFORMS conference in San Francisco (November 2005)

20. Bidirectional Utility Diagram. INFORMS conference- Pittsburgh. (November 2006).

21. Reaching Out to Juvenile Detention Centers. INFORMS conference- Pittsburgh. (November 2006).

22. Panel Discussion: Decision Analysis: Foundations in Mathematics, Science, and Engineering INFORMS conference- Pittsburgh. (November 2006).

23. Panel Discussion: NSF Outreach. INFORMS conference- Pittsburgh. (November 2006).

24. Seminar Speaker : Fuqua School of Business, Duke University: Bidirectional Utility Diagrams: Graphical Representations of Utility Independence (April 2007)

25. Multiattribute Utility Copulas, INFORMS Midwest Conference (August 2007).

26. Generalized Copula Structures for Multiattribute Utility Functions SAMSI Workshop on Risk Analysis, Extreme Events and Decision Theory (September 2007)

27. The Foundations of Decision Analysis Schlumberger Oilfield Services, Sugar land, Houston, Texas (August 2008)

28. One-Switch Utility Independence (with David Bell) INFORMS conference – Washington D.C. (October 2008).

29. Applying the Power of Transforms to Utility Theory (with Jim Matheson and Ronald Howard) INFORMS conference – Washington D.C. (October 2008).

30. Assessing Joint Distributions with Isoprobability Contours (with David Budescu) INFORMS conference – Washington D.C. (October 2008).

31. A Comparison of Two Probability Encoding Methods (with David Budescu) INFORMS conference – Washington D.C. (October 2008).

32. Decision Analysis of Mine Rescue Operations (with Rayan Hafeez) INFORMS conference – Washington D.C. (October 2008).

33. Decision Making in Manufacturing. Second Manufacturing Education Leadership Forum, Society of Manufacturing Engineers. (November 2008).

34. Recent Advances in Multiattribute Utility Theory. University of Texas A&M (November 2008).

31. Measuring Risk Aversion in a Name-Your-Own Price Channel, Rothkopf Memorial Conference, College Park, Pennsylvania, May 2009.

32. Multiattribute Utility Functions with Partial Utility Independence, IFORS/CORS, Toronto, June 2009.

33. From Bayes’ Nets to Utility Nets, MaxEnt 2009, Oxford, Mississippi, July 2009.

34. On a Class of Stochastic Processes with Constant Valuation, MaxEnt 2009, Oxford, Mississippi, July 2009.

35. Bidirectional Utility Diagrams. INFORMS conference – San Diego (November 2009).

36. The Role of Some functional Equations in Decision Analysis (with Janos Aczel and Duncan Luce). INFORMS conference – San Diego (November 2009).

37. Uncertainty in Machining, National Science Foundation. Washington DC, February 2010.

38. Constructing Multiattribute Utility Functions in Decision Analysis, University of Texas Austin, McCombs School of Business Austin, Tx, April 2010.

39. The Necessity of Decision Analysis in Engineering Design. Invited Seminar Speaker, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL (October 2010).

40. Adventures in a Multiattribute Utility Space. Invited Speaker. University of California, Irvine (November 2010).

41. Constructing Multiattribute Utility Functions for Decision Analysis. Tutorial Speaker, INFORMS conference - Austin, Tx (November 2010).

42. Equivalence of the Utility Indifference Price and Linear Price of an Option in an Incomplete Market. INFORMS conference - Austin, Tx (November 2010).

43. One-Switch Conditions for Multiattribute Utility Functions (with David Bell). INFORMS conference - Austin, Tx (November 2010).

44. Using Bayesian Analysis in Milling Profit Optimization. INFORMS conference - Austin, Tx (November 2010).

45. Normative Perspectives in Design and Manufacturing. NSF CMMI Grantees Conference – Atlanta, GA (January 2011).

46. The Role of Some Functional Equations in Decision Analysis. Stanford University, Stanford, California (February 2011).

47. Double-Sided Utility Copulas. INFORMS conference – Charlotte, NC (October 2011).

48. Value of Information in Two-action Decision Problems ( with Zhengwei Sun). INFORMS conference – Charlotte, NC (October 2011).

49. Teaching Decision Skill to Troubled Teens. INFORMS conference – Charlotte, NC (October 2011).

50. Constructing Multiattribute Utility Functions for Decision Analysis. University of Texas at Dallas, Dallas, Tx. (November 2011).

51. Double-Sided Utility Copulas. INFORMS conference – Phoenix, Az (October 2012).

52. Valuing Changes in Investment Opportunities. INFORMS conference – Phoenix, Az (October 2012).

53. Enhancing Adolescents’ Lives through Decision-Making Skills (with Carl Spetzler, Chris Spetzler, and Nadine Oesser). INFORMS conference – Phoenix, Az (October 2012).

54. Constructing Multiattribute Utility Functions. University of Sussex. Brighton, U.K. (September 2013).

55. Building Ahoona: The Decision-Making Social Network. INFORMS conference – Minneapolis, Mn (October 2013).

56. Continuous-time Risk-adjusted Martingales (with Z. Sun and D. Kwon) INFORMS conference – Minneapolis, Mn (October 2013).

57. Value-Maximizing Fixed Targets (with A. Hupman) INFORMS conference – Minneapolis, Mn (October 2013).

58. Utility Bayesian Networks (with S. Ho and Z. Sun) INFORMS conference – Minneapolis, Mn (October 2013).

59. On the Monotonicity of Value of Information with Risk Aversion in Two-Action Decision Problems ( with Z. Sun) INFORMS conference – Minneapolis, Mn (October 2013).

60. Teaching and Evaluating Decision-Making Competence ( with Carl Spetzler, Chris Spetzler, and Nadine Oesser). INFORMS conference – Minneapolis, Mn (October 2013).

61. Invited Speaker: Complex Aerospace Systems Exchange (CASE) 2014. Panelist for Session on Decision Making in Manufacturing, San Diego, CA, August 2014.

62. Invited Speaker and Lead of the Mathematics of Manufacturing Track: US- South Korea Workshop on Advanced Manufacturing. National Science Foundation Sponsor. Reno, NV, August 2014.

63. Teaching Decision Making with Social Networks ( with Ron Howard, Mazen Skaff, Carl Spetzler, and Brad Powley) INFORMS conference – San Francisco, CA (October 2014).

64. Multiattribute Utility Functions Satisfying Mutual Preferential Independence (with Zhengwei Sun) INFORMS conference – San Francisco, CA (October 2014).

65. Space and Security Decisions: The Next 50 Years. INFORMS conference – San Francisco, CA (October 2014).

66. Ordinal One-Switch Utility Functions ( with David Bell) INFORMS conference – San Francisco, CA (October 2014).
 

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